Archive for the ‘opinions’ Category

November 6, 2011 - 10:56 am Comments Off

The government of George Papandreou won the confidence of the Greek Parliament in the night from Friday to Saturday with only three votes in advance (153 votes out of 300). A reprieve for the Prime Minister called for the formation of a coalition cabinet, in a speech before the crucial vote for the ratification of the Europe Agreement Debt of Greece and the future of the country. According to Papandreou, the early elections – that the Conservative opposition was calling for – was a disastrous decision, likely to endanger the payment of the sixth tranche of aid from the European rescue plan.

On borrowed time since the disputed proposal to hold a referendum on the agreement, laboriously adopted at the European summit at dawn on October 27, Papandreou has started to prepare for his release, saying in his speech he was ready to leave office ."My position is the last thing I care about. Even matter if I am not re-elected. (…) I never conceived of politics as a profession, "he said.

The head of government has indeed lost the little credibility he had left with the political elite and the Greek people. Even within his party, PASOK (Socialist), leadership is increasingly contested. The barons of the government are the finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos, Minister of Education, Anna Diamantopoulou, the Health Minister, Andreas Loverdos, lambasted the escape of his responsibilities as representing the call to the people, as unexpected as moved. The abandonment of the idea, which had angered the countries in the euro area was confirmed Friday in Athens.

October 28, 2011 - 1:40 pm Comments Off

The success of Uniqlo store in Paris, opened in 2009 near the Opera, gave wings to the patrons of the Japanese brand. "We want to open 10 to 20 stores in Paris as soon as possible," Le Figaro reveals Nobuo Doma, chief Europe and the United States of Fast Retailing, the Japanese group owner of Uniqlo, but also Comptoir des Cotonniers and Princesse Tam Tam . Uniqlo opened yesterday XXL version of his store of Defense, opened in 2007, whose size has increased from 200 to 2,000 square meters payday loans for self employed.

Among the addresses targeted next by the brand, working with the developer Unibail to deploy in France, are "the Champs-Elysées, the Rue de Rivoli, the Rue de Rennes and the Forum des Halles," said Nobuo Doma. Once these projects, Uniqlo will other cities "like Lyon."

Light beverages will also be taxed

October 21, 2011 - 10:44 pm Comments Off

Light beverages will be taxed eventually. MEPs adopted on Friday the principle of a tax on soft drinks doubled and extended to beverages with artificial sweeteners. Two cents per can, this should bring 240 million euros instead of 120 million euros initially planned, at the announcement of the measure by François Fillon on August 24. If the government were in favor of doubling the tax to finance a reduction in the cost of agricultural labor, he was strongly opposed to its extension to drink with sweeteners.

Even today, the budget minister, Valérie Pécresse, had urged members to "not lose its coherence" to the measurement and not to "confuse" the public health message.In view of the fight against obesity, taxing drinks lights and soft drinks, "this is not the same thing," had earlier noted the Minister of Health Xavier Bertrand. But MPs were finally ignored the opposition and intense lobbying against the measure of industry.

Tax benefit of reduced fuel oil

In addition to the tax on sodas, parliamentarians got down to the vote of other anti-deficit. Several amendments adopted Thursday night or the night of Thursday to Friday eliminate or reduce existing tax benefits.

This applies to the tax benefit of heating oil used for professional use (in agriculture or construction), that members have reduced Thursday to complete the financing of the lower cost of agricultural labor.The domestic consumption tax applicable on this energy source was increased from 5.66 euros to 7.20 euros per hectolitre. It should bring 80 million euros.

MEPs also voted Thursday night a special tax applicable in 2012 on sales of duty free subject to industrial CO2 quotas. 200 companies overall are expected to be affected by this measure, which should yield about 200 million euros. "It is not an embryonic carbon tax," warned Valérie Pécresse, but "to generate CO2 allowances free to give new entrants."

Measuring more anecdotal in terms of expected revenues (2 million), the reduction of 15% per year of detention applicable to capital gains from the sale of a horse race or sport, has been deleted.The objective of this measure in the Chamber called "anti-Morin" or "anti-Bayrou," referring to the taste of these members for riding, is "to end a plus for horse owners" , explained Thursday the deputy PS Christian Eckert. The reduced VAT rate applied to the horse industry has been maintained, however, because the number of jobs at stake, valued at 6000.

(With AFP)

Energy: global investment risk of missing

October 18, 2011 - 4:52 pm Comments Off

The IEA has revised upwards its forecast 15% annual investment needs in energy. More than 1500 billion dollars (1095 billion) will be needed annually for twenty-five years or 38,000 billion by 2025 and 27,700 billion – to meet global energy demand while respecting objectives in the fight against climate change. Fatih Birol, the very influential chief economist of the IEA announced the figure on the occasion of the Ministerial Conference of the twenty-eight Member States of the Agency, which opened Tuesday in Paris for two days.

The hydrocarbons are becoming more expensive to extract, while renewables are still expensive, says the IEA.Shareholders will they go to needs? Fatih Birol is concerned on two points.

For oil (26% of investment needs to be 10,000 billion), "90% of the production growth will come from the Middle East. If within five years, investments in infrastructure are not to go to this region, will be major implications for oil prices that will fly, "warns Dr. Birol.

Second concern: electricity. "Over 1.3 billion people still do not know", said the expert. About 9 billion dollars are invested every year, "for access to electricity for the poor payday advances."But it would take five times as much, $ 45 billion, mostly in Africa and Asia."

"Governments act without speaking"

For Fulvio Conti, CEO of the Italian electricity Enel, now in Paris for the meeting between ministers and industry, these investments will only be possible if the regulation is "clear and stable," compatible with the time scale of the energy industry is extensive. "Unfortunately, the boss lamented Italian governments acting alone, without speaking. There are rules asymmetrical. That is why we, industrial, have raised our voices, "at the ministerial conference of twenty-eight Member States of the IEA.

In contrast, José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo, CEO of the Brazilian national oil Petrobras shows an optimism. His company will invest alone $ 224 billion within four years.Brazil relies on the growth of its deposits "présalifères" buried under the Atlantic to increase production to 5 million barrels per day (mbd) in 2020 half of Saudi production against 2 million bpd now. All smiles, the Brazilian incarnation of emerging countries, says the sweeping fears of a recession, "the future is bright."

Spain is in the focus of rating agencies

October 15, 2011 - 12:36 pm Comments Off

New blow for the euro area. After Fitch, it was the turn of Standard & Poor's to break down a notch credit rating of Spain, which changes to "AA-". The rating agency also maintains a negative outlook on the country. In other words, a further downgrade of the country can not be excluded.

The agency believes that financial services' growth prospects are uncertain "because of" increasing risks "facing the economy. The agency referred in particular to "the incomplete reform of the labor market will continue to hinder economic recovery." In the view of S & P, Spain could fall into recession next year, with GDP expected down 0.5%.

The fragility of the financial system is also the Achilles heel of the fourth largest economy in the eurozone.S & P is concerned and "a probable further deterioration of asset quality of the Spanish financial system."

The agency also questioned the budgetary targets of the Zapatero government. The Spanish public deficit forecast at 6.2% of GDP for 2011 could be exceeded. As for reducing the deficit to 4.4% of GDP in 2012, it will not be possible without "additional measures".

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Wall Street should be shaken

September 22, 2011 - 5:24 pm Comments Off

A new session promises to be eventful Thursday on Wall Street. Futures on the Dow Jones fell by 2.06% to 10,831 points, those on the Standard & Poor's let go of 2.23% to 1136.10 points and the Nasdaq lost 2.32% to 2208.20 points.

Like European and Asian stock markets, Wall Street should not escape the anxiety of investors pessimistic after the U.S. central bank on the global economy. The central bank has held that the U.S. economic recovery was "slow" and threatened by "high risk".

For this, the Fed announced an operation to extend the maturity of the assets it holds up to 400 billion dollars by June 2012."One can interpret this decision by the Fed as the will not to launch a" quantitative easing "3 (monetary easing to boost the U.S. economy) in the immediate future, says Arnaud Poutiers, executive vice president of IG Markets short term personal loan. Indeed, "Operation Twist" is intended to influence the long bond rate, but without increasing the size of the Fed's balance sheet, so without creating money ".

On the currency markets, the euro continued to sink against the dollar: the euro back below the $ 1.35 (-0.91%).

On the corporate side, Moody's lowered the credit ratings of Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citigroup. The agency that the state may fly to their rescue.

United Technologies will buy the equipment for Goodrich Aircraft $ 16.5 billion (12.2 billion euros) in cash, a transaction that would be the largest acquisition of U.S. industrial giant in 10 years.

FedEx has reported an EPS according to the consensus of $ 1.46 per share in the first quarter, a turnover of 10.52 billion dollars (against the consensus of 10.32 billion dollars).

Why Standard & Poor's deteriorating Italy without warning

September 20, 2011 - 3:56 pm Comments Off

The discount is as brutal as sudden. While markets were expecting a deterioration of the Italian debt by Moody's, its rival Standard & Poor's (S & P) has the first shot. On the night of Monday to Tuesday, the U.S. rating agency downgraded a notch credit ratings long and short term attributed to the third European economy A/A-1 against A + / A-1 + before. She also maintains a negative outlook on the evolution of the country's economic activity. Rome was quick to respond, criticizing a decision "dictated" by the media and "distorted by political considerations."

Above all, the rating agency believes to have taken someone a traitor. "There is nothing in this sudden degradation defends Martin Winn, Vice President of the London office of S & P, noting that the Italian debt had already been placed under negative outlook on May 21.A decision which in the eyes of the agency at least, appears as "a very clear indicator," said Norbert Gaillard, an economist and specialist rating agencies. In fact, a negative outlook indicates that degradation can occur at two-year horizon, says Norbert Gaillard yet. Unlike a "supervision order", indicating a probability of discount "stronger in the next three months."

Quagmire of the magazine Italian Greek

The question is whether the markets have built-or not-this "indicator". And there, the doubt remains: "Normally this should be the case," suggests Norbert Gaillard.Adding that markets were also able to consider a positive outcome for Italy, when Moody's, which was placed on negative watch Rome in June, was given "one more month" to determine a deterioration in the adoption of an austerity plan for Rome in mid-July.

However, even if investors are mild at first, the degradation of Standard & Poor's suggests a bleak future on the other side of the Alps. "There are now three notches score difference between Moody's and Standard & Poor's, which is huge," says Norbert Gaillard. He said Moody's may well be tempted to turn degrade the Italian debt, "especially to preserve its credibility." With in this case, "a risk of panic 'markets.

In addition, S & P has not ended with Italy, since the rating agency maintained its negative outlook on the economy Alps.Now, if Moody's was focused on the austerity measures, its competitor seems only need a high debt, a fragile political situation, or a sluggish growth prospects for taking action, counting up Norbert Gaillard. Questioned on this point, Martin Winn mentioned merely "a probability of 33% of a further deterioration in the next two years." As negotiations dragged on over Greece, which still awaits its next tranche of EUR 8 billion, Italy is transformed into a dangerous powder keg for the rest of the euro area.

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Nuclear stress test: EDF makes his copy of 7000 pages

September 14, 2011 - 9:56 pm Comments Off

No less than 7000 pages posted! This is the amount represented by the reports of its nineteen nuclear power plants (58 reactors in operation over the EPR under construction at Flamanville) EDF is currently on schedule to transmit to the Nuclear Safety Authority (ASN) . The "policeman" of the atom is committed, through the voice of its Director General Jean-Christophe Niel to publish in full on its website.

The delivery of copies by EDF and other operators of nuclear facilities is only the first step in the process of "revaluation additional security" required by François Fillon after the accident at the plant in Fukushima, and conducted in parallel with the European approach called "stress tests". Experts from the ASN and IRSN (Institute of Nuclear Safety and Radiation Protection) now have three months to publish their report.Extra work for which the ASN has even mobilized to reinforce the "three or four young retirees". Even before the peer review of these reports by experts from other nuclear countries in Europe, between January and April 2012, some foreign experts will participate in the analysis of the copy of EDF.

Alongside the work on paper, the ASN program completed in October of 38 inspections in power, focused on protection against earthquakes, floods, power loss, loss of cooling and crisis management.

During December, the ASN requested EDF as it deems necessary measures – as it has already been done to strengthen the concrete slab of the Central Fessenheim. From January to April, reports of national safety authorities will be considered by their European peers.In the nuclear environment and the hexagonal Quai d'Orsay, is expected to undergo strong pressure from Germany to close the central border Fessenheim, Cattenom and Chooz.

Doubts about financing of Societe Generale in Libya

September 6, 2011 - 11:04 am Comments Off

New blow for Societe Generale. While the second French bank is particularly turbulent stock market since the beginning of the summer, with a share price halved in three months, she has to face new suspicions. After the unfounded rumors about the supposed risks of bankruptcy, after questioning by U.S. authorities in a fraud complaint on subprime, Societe Generale now sees its relationship with the Gaddafi regime scrutinized. The new Libyan authorities are looking into effect on the investment made by the French bank with the Libyan sovereign fund, the Libyan Investment Authority, reports the Wall Street Journal. Some of these funds would have landed in the hands of people close to the government in place, the paper said.Societe Generale would have paid a certain amount to a Panamanian company, Leinad to help manage and advise an investment fund of one billion dollars in 2008. If the exact mission of Leinad is not yet clear, its role has at least been criticized by members of the Libyan sovereign fund, before the start of the Libyan revolt, the newspaper said cash till payday advance.

For now, the bank declined to comment on its relations with the sovereign fund Leinad or Libya, says the Wall Street Journal. Societe Generale however, that it has "worked occasionally with financial intermediaries in countries where it is not directly present."And these consultants are "fully selected and monitored in accordance with our procedures and ethics with the law and in full transparency with the customer," said the group, some have "acted in full accordance with the laws and regulations the sovereign ".

Throughout the reign of Colonel Gaddafi, it was indeed common for large groups pay foreign intermediaries, advisors and consultants to do business with Libya.

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Libya is committed to a high risk transition

September 2, 2011 - 12:24 pm Comments Off

It was, we had warned at the Elysee, to "gather the international community behind the Libyan authorities to help them succeed in the reconstruction of a new Libya." Ambitious goal of the conference of "Friends of Libya," held Thursday, will have almost been reached, at least in terms of number of participants. Sixty delegations, countries or organizations have responded to the invitation launched by Nicolas Sarkozy, in tandem with David Cameron. An initiative no later than last week, so "with the desire to move quickly to engage the clutch in this critical transition period," noted one in the entourage of Nicolas Sarkozy. Implicitly, participation in the conference meant for those who came, a recognition of the new government of Libya.The step was taken, in extremis, by Russia on Thursday while Algeria, home to the family Gaddafi has promised to do. Alger, whose attitude was described Thursday as "ambiguous" by Alain Juppe, was represented by its Foreign Minister, Mourad Medelci. Going slightly, too, China has nevertheless sent a deputy minister Thursday at the Elysee. One notable absence, South Africa, dissatisfied with the intervention of Nato. The African Union, although represented, also known as not yet ready to recognize the CNT.

Stabilize the country and standardize its neighborly relations will not be any challenge for the new Libya. The fighting is still pending. "The fortunes of war can not be reversed, but the strength of pro-Gaddafi nuisance, including snipers, remains important," notes do you as president.NATO strikes will continue "as long as necessary," warned David Cameron.

Even before the reconstruction of the country, relief was on the menu of the Paris conference to try to overcome the lack of water, electricity and fuel. Immediate needs for which funding must be provided by the thaw immediate $ 15 billion of assets Gaddafi clan abroad, including $ 1 payday loan lenders.5 billion in France. The two main leaders of the CNT, Moustapha Abdeljalil and number two, Mahmoud Jibril, a French plane went for Thursday morning in Benghazi, presented their priorities for reconstruction.

Form an "effective policing" and "democratic"

The main challenge will be the establishment of democratic institutions.To the powers that "accompany" the renaissance, it will be mainly to avoid the excesses of a scenario in Iraq or, even more formidable, in Afghanistan. "Nothing can happen without forgiveness and reconciliation," warned Nicolas Sarkozy. The "road map" institutional CNT expects over eighteen months, the establishment of a provisional government, a Constituent Assembly and the adoption by referendum of a constitution, followed by general elections. But the project is far from being finalized. Already, the European Union was prepared to assist the new authorities to form an "effective policing" and "democratic", said Thursday its chief diplomat, Catherine Ashton. At the request of the CNT, Ban Ki-moon proposed sending a quick UN mission.A few dozen men, and even a few hundred, they could stabilize a country the size of France three times? The question will arise, as was the collection of weapons distributed in abundance and that of Islamism. Risk dismissed out of hand in Paris, where it is stated that "there may be small groups but that does not represent Islam in Libya or a sensitivity or a significant threat." The group of new friends in Libya will be judged on his next visit in late September in New York. Nicolas Sarkozy has finally provided to want to go to Tripoli with David Cameron when the CNT will be installed.

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